The poll found that 38% of a random sample of 1012 American adults said they believe in ghosts. What is the lower bound for a 90% confidence interval for the percentage of all American adults who believe in ghosts?

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Answer:

The lower bound for a 90% confidence interval for the percentage of all American adults who believe in ghosts is 0.3549

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

For this problem, we have that:

[tex]n = 1012, \pi = 0.38[/tex]

90% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.1[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.1}{2} = 0.95[/tex], so [tex]Z = 1.645[/tex].

The lower limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.38 - 1.645\sqrt{\frac{0.38*0.62}{1012}} = 0.3549[/tex]

The lower bound for a 90% confidence interval for the percentage of all American adults who believe in ghosts is 0.3549