Of 150 adults selected randomly from one town, 30 of them smoke. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the true percentage of all adults in the town that smoke.

Respuesta :

Answer:

The 99% confidence interval for the true percentage of all adults in the town that smoke is (0.1159, 0.2841).

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence interval [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

For this problem, we have that:

Of 150 adults selected randomly from one town, 30 of them smoke. This means that [tex]n = 150, p = \frac{30}{150} = 0.2[/tex]

99% confidence interval

So [tex]\alpha = 0.01[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.01}{2} = 0.995[/tex], so [tex]Z = 2.575[/tex].

The lower limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.20 - 2.575\sqrt{\frac{0.20*0.80}{150}} = 0.1159[/tex]

The upper limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi + z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.20 + 2.575\sqrt{\frac{0.20*0.80}{150}}{119}} = 0.2841[/tex]

The 99% confidence interval for the true percentage of all adults in the town that smoke is (0.1159, 0.2841).