The number of gallons of paint that Home Depot sells in a given day is normally distributed with a mean of 160 gallons and a standard deviation of 55 gallons (I realize that the distribution is probably different for weekends compared to weekdays, but just assume everyday has the distribution). What is the probability that on a randomly chosen day, Home Depot sells more than 220 gallons of paint?

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]P(X>220)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}>\frac{220-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z>\frac{220-160}{55})=P(Z>1.09)[/tex]

And we can find this probability on this way using the complement rule and the standard normal table or excel:

[tex]P(Z>1.09)=1-P(z<1.09)=1-0.862=0.138 [/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

The Z-score is "a numerical measurement used in statistics of a value's relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean".  

Solution to the problem

Let X the random variable that represent the number of gallons for a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(160,55)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=160[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=55[/tex]

We are interested on this probability

[tex]P(X>220)[/tex]

And the best way to solve this problem is using the normal standard distribution and the z score given by:

[tex]z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

If we apply this formula to our probability we got this:

[tex]P(X>220)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}>\frac{220-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z>\frac{220-160}{55})=P(Z>1.09)[/tex]

And we can find this probability on this way using the complement rule and the standard normal table or excel:

[tex]P(Z>1.09)=1-P(z<1.09)=1-0.862=0.138 [/tex]