A research group conducted an extensive survey of 2968 wage and salaried workers on issues ranging from relationships with their bosses to household chores. The data were gathered through hour-long telephone interviews with a nationally representative sample. In response to the question, "What does success mean to you?" 1631 responded, "Personal satisfaction from doing a good job." Let p be the population proportion of all wage and salaried workers who would respond the same way to the stated question. How large a sample is needed if we wish to be 95% confident that the sample percentage of those equating success with personal satisfaction is within 2.3% of the population percentage? (Hint: Use p ≈ 0.55 as a preliminary estimate. Round your answer up to the nearest whole number.)

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Answer:

We need a sample of at least 1797 if we wish to be 95% confident that the sample percentage of those equating success with personal satisfaction is within 2.3% of the population percentage.

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

The margin of error is:

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

95% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.05[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.05}{2} = 0.975[/tex], so [tex]Z = 1.96[/tex].

In this problem, we have that:

[tex]p = 0.55[/tex]

How large a sample is needed if we wish to be 95% confident that the sample percentage of those equating success with personal satisfaction is within 2.3% of the population percentage?

We have to find n for which [tex]M = 0.023[/tex]. So

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.023 = 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.55*0.45}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.023\sqrt{n} = 0.9751[/tex]

[tex]\sqrt{n} = \frac{0.9751}{0.0023}[/tex]

[tex]\sqrt{n} = 423.95[/tex]

[tex]\sqrt{n}^{2} = (42.395)^{2}[/tex]

[tex]n = 1797[/tex]

We need a sample of at least 1797 if we wish to be 95% confident that the sample percentage of those equating success with personal satisfaction is within 2.3% of the population percentage.