Respuesta :
Answer:
(a) The probability that the individual likes both vehicle #1 and vehicle #2 is 0.40.
(b) The value of P (A₂ | A₃) is 0.7143.
(c) The events A₂ and A₃ are not independent.
(d) The probability that an individual likes at least one of A₂ and A₃ given they did not like A₁ is 0.7333.
Step-by-step explanation:
The events are defined as follows:
A₁ = an individual like vehicle #1
A₂ = an individual like vehicle #2
A₃ = an individual like vehicle #3
The information provided is:
[tex]P(A_{1})=0.55\\P(A_{2})=0.65\\P(A_{3})=0.70\\P(A_{1}\cup A_{2})=0.80\\P(A_{2}\cap A_{3})=0.50\\P(A_{1}\cup A_{2}\cip A_{3})=0.88\\[/tex]
(a)
Compute the probability that the individual likes both vehicle #1 and vehicle #2 as follows:
[tex]P(A_{1}\cap A_{2})=P(A_{1})+P(A_{2})-P(A_{1}\cup A_{2})\\=0.55+0.65-0.80\\=0.40[/tex]
Thus, the probability that the individual likes both vehicle #1 and vehicle #2 is 0.40.
(b)
Compute the value of P (A₂ | A₃) as follows:
[tex]P(A_{2}|A_{3})=\frac{P(A_{2}\cap A_{3})}{P(A_{3}}\\=\frac{0.50}{0.70}\\=0.7143[/tex]
Thus, the value of P (A₂ | A₃) is 0.7143.
(c)
If two events X and Y are independent then,
[tex]P(X\cap Y)=P(X)\times P(Y)\\P(X|Y)=P(X)[/tex]
The value of P (A₂ ∩ A₃) is 0.50.
The product of the probabilities, P (A₂) and P (A₃) is:
[tex]P(A_{2})\times P(A_{3})=0.65\times0.70=0.455[/tex]
Thus, P (A₂ ∩ A₃) ≠ P (A₂) × P (A₃)
The value of P (A₂ | A₃) is 0.7143.
The value of P (A₂) is 0.65.
Thus, P (A₂ | A₃) ≠ P (A₂).
The events A₂ and A₃ are not independent.
(d)
Compute that probability that an individual likes at least one of A₂ and A₃ given they did not like A₁ as follows:
[tex]P(A_{2}\cup A_{3}|A_{1}^{c})=\frac{P((A_{2}\cup A_{3})\cap A_{1}^{c})}{P(A_{1}^{c})}\\=\frac{P((A_{2}\cup A_{3}\cup A_{1})-P(A_{1})}{1-P(A_{1})} \\=\frac{0.88-0.55}{1-0.55}\\=0.7333[/tex]
Thus, the probability that an individual likes at least one of A₂ and A₃ given they did not like A₁ is 0.7333.
