In a lottery game, a player picks 7 numbers from 1 to 53. If 6 of the 7 numbers match those drawn, the player wins second prize. What is the probability of winning this prize?

Respuesta :

Answer:

0.000002089 probability of winning this prize

Step-by-step explanation:

After a number is chosen, it cannot be chosen again. So we use the hypergeometric distribution to solve this question.

Hypergeometric distribution:

The probability of x sucesses is given by the following formula:

[tex]P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = \frac{C_{k,x}*C_{N-k,n-x}}{C_{N,n}}[/tex]

In which:

x is the number of sucesses.

N is the size of the population.

n is the size of the sample.

k is the total number of desired outcomes.

Combinations formula:

[tex]C_{n,x}[/tex] is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

In this question:

53 numbers, then N = 53.

7 numbers picked, so n = 7.

Total of desired outcomes(any number which the player picks is desired) is 7, so k = 7.

6 successes, so x = 6.

What is the probability of winning this prize?

[tex]P(X = 6) = h(6,53,7,7) = \frac{C_{7,6}*C_{46,1}}{C_{53,7}} = 0.000002089[/tex]

0.000002089 probability of winning this prize